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Thursday, July 24, 2008

Southern Ocean

I found the following graph, Figure 1, so unique I decided the Southern Ocean needed a post of its own.

http://i34.tinypic.com/1411sti.jpg
Figure 1

SOUTHERN OCEAN SST ANOMALY

Figure 2 illustrates the Southern Ocean SST anomalies from January 1854 to May 2005. The data is raw and smoothed with a 37-month filter. Using the smoothed data as reference, the significant rise in SST from the mid-1960s to the early 1970s is unusual, especially since it’s followed by the precipitous drop that begins January 1997, a few months before the start of the El Nino of the century.
http://i38.tinypic.com/ddesko.jpg
Figure 2

In Figure 3, the time span has been shortened to 30+ years. It’s interesting to note that even though the trend was negative, the late 1990s rise in SST occurred before the 97/98 El Nino and that the later spike happened in September 1999, almost a year and a half after the peak of that El Nino. A Rossby wave maybe?
http://i38.tinypic.com/2n6rwon.jpg
Figure 3

SOUTHERN OCEAN SST

Figures 4 and 5 are SSTs from January 1854 to May 2008 and from January 1978 to May 2008, for anyone who’s interested.
http://i33.tinypic.com/35810yg.jpg
Figure 4


http://i38.tinypic.com/8wyscp.jpg
Figure 5

SEGMENTED SOUTHERN OCEAN SST ANOMALY

In Figure 6, I show how I divided the Southern Ocean for a view of the segmented data.
http://i33.tinypic.com/35hk18l.jpg
Figure 6

The SST anomalies of the Southern Ocean segments are then illustrated in Figure 7. The areas are identified by the letters in the legend and the map. All of the curves display a significant drop in SST in recent years. The two unusual curves are those that are east and west of the Antarctic Peninsula, curves A (blue) and B (red).
http://i34.tinypic.com/2jg9lb9.jpg
Figure 7

Figure 8 illustrates the SST anomalies of that portion of the Bellingshausen Sea, that area west of the Antarctic Peninsula. Its data peaked in March 2006.
http://i35.tinypic.com/kafg5w.jpg
Figure 8

SOURCE

Sea Surface Temperature Data is Smith and Reynolds Extended Reconstructed SST (ERSST.v2) available through the NOAA National Operational Model Archive & Distribution System (NOMADS).
http://nomads.ncdc.noaa.gov/#climatencdc

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Comments that are political in nature or that have nothing to do with the post will be deleted.
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The Smith and Reynolds SST Posts DOES NOT LIST ALL SST POSTS. I stopped using ERSST.v2 data for SST when NOAA deleted it from NOMADS early in 2009.

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